To the PAP: 10 reasons why people will cast protest vote in Singapore General Election

Here are 10 reasons why people will cast protest vote in the next General Election:

1. The rising cost of public housing which is supposedly subsidised.

2. Foreign workers depressing wages and robbing Singaporeans of jobs.

3. The poor seems to be getting poorer, and their numbers seem to be increasing.

4. Ever rising cost of living.

5. Sky-high ministerial salaries.

6. The widespread perception that the PAP has become too elitist.

7. The PAP has lost touch with the ground. I see my MP only when GE is around the corner.

8. Questionable payments and fines eg TV licence, exit toll at Woodlands Checkpoint, late payment fee for TV licence and road tax, ERP

9. Lack of freedom of expression

10. Unlevel playing field in the political arena.

(This is by no means an exhaustive list. You may add to it.)

In all fairness, the current administration has brought tremendous progress and prosperity to Singapore that is the envy of many countries. But the world has changed, and if it fails to change and continues to be seen as too authoritarian and persists in talking down to the people, there will be protest vote.

Common sight: Poverty has forced many to rummage in litter bins.


4 Responses to “To the PAP: 10 reasons why people will cast protest vote in Singapore General Election”

  1. Vote, vote, vote everybody vote
    Remember it may be days away
    Don’t forget, so you must not delay
    Vote wisely, vote with care
    Everybody vote.

    When you vote, you must vote wisely
    What people say, you jangan peduli
    Use your head, think very carefully
    Remember once you vote
    There is no lagi sekali.
    (‘Voting Song’ in the 60s. Sung by Zainal Alam)

  2. In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of.
    In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.
    – by Confucius

    Analysis – Opposition and electorate
    Opposition parties should be aware of their strengths and limitations, the strength of the ruling party and also the needs and aspiration of the voters.

    Aspiration of Electorate

    From the last election results, there is an indication that as much as the voters would want more opposition candidates to win, they do not want a change of government. They understand that a sudden change of government will create political instability and there will be a negative effect on the economy.

    Moreover, the opposition parties appear disunited, even before the election. It is unlikely that they can unite after the election. A disunited government cannot perform well having to spend a lot of time to overcome their differences and conflict.

    In order for the opposition parties to serve the electorate well, they must show that they are sensitive to their needs.

    Their election strategy must reflect their understanding of the needs of the electorate. Below are 3 strategies.
    Strategy B would be the one supported by the electorate.
    It will be a good thing to conduct a survey to find out the preference of the majority of the voters.

    Strategy A
    This is straightforward. The opposition parties should contest in the 12 Single Member Constituency (SMC) wards. Increasing from our present 2 opposition members to 12 is an increase of 600%. When there is a 3-corner contest, there is some complication. Since Worker’s Party has the highest % of votes during the last election, it goes to show that people may vote for this party first, Singapore Democratic Alliance second, Singapore Democratic Party third. For other parties, we will have to look at how strong the individual candidate is. For this, I will have to update after Nomination Day.
    Voters can actually force opposition to form only one party. The strongest opposition party is the Workers’ Party. So, each time there is a corner fight, they can all vote for the Workers’ Party forcing the third party to lose its deposit. The Workers’ Party MP has more than 10 years of looking after the constituency. He is a good mentor for all future opposition MPs .

    Strategy B
    Make use of the by-election strategy and contest less than half the number of seats.
    The aim is to stop the ruling party from winning a two- third majority.

    Results of last election
    PAP 66.60%
    Workers’ Party 16.34%
    Singapore Democratic Alliance 12.99%
    Singapore Democratic Party 4.07%

    In the last election, the opposition won 33.4% of the votes. This is more than one third. One third of the total 84 seats in the last election is28. But, the opposition won only 2 seats. By simple Math, the system seems imperfect. However, the system can be worked around.

    According to the by-elections strategy, the target number of seats to contest in this election is 43, giving PAP 44 seats via walkover on Nomination Day. Since the electorate has no fear of change of government, they will feel safe to vote for the opposition to put pressure on the ruling party to perform even better.

    Based on last election’s results
    Workers’ Party 16.34% of 87 seats 14 seats
    Singapore Democratic Alliance 12.99% of 87 seats 11 seats
    Singapore Democratic Party 4.07% of 87 seats 3.5 (4 )seats
    Total 33.4% of 87 seats 29 seats

    So, there is an extra (43 – 29) 14 seats.
    Workers’ Party should contest (14 ÷ 29 x 14) 6.7 seats ( 7 )
    Singapore Democratic Alliance (11 ÷ 29 x 14 ) 5.3 seats ( 5 )
    Singapore Democratic Party ( 3.5 ÷ 29 x 14 ) 1.6 seats ( 2 )

    Hence, the suggested total number of seats to be contested is as follows:
    Workers’ Party 21 seats
    Singapore Democratic Alliance 16 seats
    Singapore Democratic Party 6 seats
    Total 43 seats
    By following Plan B, the opposition can win 30 seats depriving the ruling party a two-third majority.
    Increasing from 2 to 30 seats is an increase of 1500%. This is a fantastic achievement in the history of Singapore General Election.

    The figures above only serve as a guide for opposition parties to refer to during their discussion.

    Strategy C
    This is to contest in 50% or more than 50% of the seats.
    In the last election held on 6 May 2006, the opposition contested in 47 out of 84 seats. One very important reason why the opposition won only 2 seats is the fear of change of government. Voters are smart. Voting is an investment and not a gamble.
    Based on last election results, by following Plan C, the opposition may win 2 and even less seats.

  3. Thank you for your insights and analysis.

    Admittedly, it’s a tricky situation. While some would want an opposition, they fear to make a “gamble”.

    Then there are others who have had enough of the ruling party’s arrogance and would willingly take the gamble.

    But a start has to be made. To all intents and purposes, Singapore is a one-party state, and that imperils the long-term interest of the country.

    Discerning Singaporeans wont fail to have noticed how arrogant the PAP has become over the years apart from its intolerance of dissent.

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